| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | vs Bowling Green (8-6, 5-4) | W 59-31 | 7.38 | 6.55 | +0.83 | 70.19%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Illinois (6-7, 3-5) | L 34-42 | 5.13 | 6.12 | -0.99 | 26.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3) | L 47-50 | 7.04 | 6.08 | +0.96 | 73.18%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Navy (8-5) | W 36-27 | 6.26 | 6.97 | -0.71 | 32.46%
| +1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs UAB (6-6, 4-4) | L 39-42 | 7.74 | 6.64 | +1.10 | 76.09%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | L 38-45 | 5.74 | 6.96 | -1.21 | 21.58%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Old Dominion (6-6, 4-4) | W 66-51 | 8.47 | 8.69 | -0.22 | 44.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 7-2) | L 10-59 | 4.13 | 6.11 | -1.98 | 9.46%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs UTEP (7-6, 5-3) | W 35-27 | 6.51 | 5.79 | +0.71 | 67.65%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Army (4-8) | W 52-24 | 8.50 | 5.29 | +3.21 | 97.18%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-7 | 7.40 | 3.77 | +3.62 | 97.37%
| +2 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | at #24 Marshall (13-1, 8-1) | W 67-66 | 8.58 | 8.63 | -0.05 | 48.64%
| +2 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Wed) | vs Central Michigan (7-6, 5-3) * | W 49-48 | 8.74 | 8.20 | +0.54 | 63.50%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 7.05 | 6.66 | +0.393 | 7.28-5.72 (+0.72) | +5 |