| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #21 Texas (5-7, 3-6) | L 18-38 | 5.19 | 6.40 | -1.21 | 21.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Nicholls (6-5, 5-3) | W 27-24 | 6.52 | 6.91 | -0.39 | 40.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Thu) | vs Ohio (3-9, 3-5) | W 49-14 | 6.77 | 4.55 | +2.23 | 93.01%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-20 | 5.82 | 5.59 | +0.22 | 55.63%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | W 20-18 | 5.24 | 5.38 | -0.13 | 46.57%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Tue) | vs Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | W 41-13 | 6.59 | 3.84 | +2.76 | 96.27%
| +3 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 28-27 | 7.48 | 6.26 | +1.22 | 78.58%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-0 | 5.99 | 4.40 | +1.59 | 85.05%
| +3 |
| Nov 4November 4 (Thu) | vs Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | W 21-17 | 5.97 | 4.52 | +1.46 | 82.92%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-21 | 6.10 | 4.89 | +1.21 | 78.33%
| +3 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Liberty (8-5) | W 42-14 | 4.55 | 4.13 | +0.43 | 60.73%
| +6 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 21-16 | 6.28 | 4.39 | +1.89 | 89.36%
| +1 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | W 24-16 | 5.45 | 4.53 | +0.92 | 72.32%
| +1 |
| Dec 18December 18 | at Marshall (7-6, 5-3) * | W 36-21 | 6.00 | 5.11 | +0.89 | 71.70%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 13-1, 9-0 | 6.02 | 5.11 | +0.915 | 9.72-4.28 (+3.28) | +15 |