| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Campbell (3-9, 1-7) | W 41-24 | 7.01 | 6.20 | +0.81 | 69.91%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 30-24 | 7.52 | 4.25 | +3.28 | 97.23%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | W 28-10 | 6.95 | 4.59 | +2.36 | 94.11%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs East Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | W 35-24 | 5.38 | 4.87 | +0.51 | 62.74%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at App State (5-6, 3-5) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 8October 8 (Tue) | vs Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 6.15 | 5.46 | +0.69 | 67.09%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Wed) | at Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | L 24-27 | 5.44 | 5.21 | +0.23 | 55.73%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Wed) | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 21-31 | 5.26 | 7.91 | -2.65 | 4.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-17 | 7.58 | 5.95 | +1.63 | 85.69%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Massachusetts (2-10, 0-1) | W 35-34 | 6.75 | 5.92 | +0.83 | 70.28%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | W 38-21 | 7.41 | 6.15 | +1.26 | 79.38%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at Sam Houston (10-3, 6-2) | L 18-20 | 3.59 | 4.27 | -0.68 | 33.13%
| -1 |
| Jan 4January 4 | vs Buffalo (9-4, 6-2) * | L 7-26 | 4.32 | 4.79 | -0.47 | 38.30%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 5-3 | 6.10 | 5.38 | +0.713 | 7.58-4.42 (+0.42) | -3 |