| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs #13 Central Arkansas (5-6, 3-4) | W 40-21 | 6.78 | 5.45 | +1.32 | 80.54%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Memphis (6-6, 3-5) | L 50-55 | 6.94 | 9.71 | -2.78 | 3.67%
| +2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Washington (4-8, 3-6) | L 3-52 | 3.72 | 7.21 | -3.48 | 2.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Tulsa (7-6, 5-3) | L 34-41 | 5.70 | 8.96 | -3.26 | 2.79%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | L 33-59 | 6.21 | 8.57 | -2.36 | 5.88%
| -4 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Thu) | vs #15 Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | L 20-52 | 4.71 | 10.89 | -6.18 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Thu) | vs Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 27-28 | 6.26 | 7.48 | -1.22 | 21.40%
| +2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | L 13-31 | 3.56 | 5.75 | -2.20 | 7.24%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 14-48 | 3.39 | 6.24 | -2.86 | 3.42%
| -2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 27-24 | 6.57 | 4.96 | +1.61 | 85.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | L 20-28 | 3.65 | 5.95 | -2.30 | 6.39%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | L 22-24 | 6.20 | 6.06 | +0.14 | 53.61%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-10, 1-7 | 5.44 | 7.25 | -1.805 | 2.73-9.27 (-0.73) | -5 |