| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | vs Sam Houston (0-5, 0-2) | W 41-24 | 5.88 | 6.26 | -0.38 | 40.43%
| -1 |
| Aug 30August 30 | vs North Alabama (1-4, 0-1) | W 55-6 | 7.94 | 3.58 | +4.36 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Toledo (3-2, 1-1) | L 21-45 | 4.97 | 8.06 | -3.09 | 2.95%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Nevada (1-4, 0-1) | W 31-16 | 5.47 | 5.17 | +0.30 | 57.64%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Missouri State (2-3, 0-1) | W 27-22 | 7.00 | 6.27 | +0.73 | 67.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | at Delaware (3-2, 1-1) | W 27-24 | 5.93 | 5.37 | +0.56 | 63.96%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | vs Florida International (2-3, 0-1) | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | at Louisiana Tech (4-1, 2-0) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs New Mexico State (3-2, 1-1) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Middle Tennessee (1-4, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at #11 LSU (4-1, 1-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Jacksonville State (2-3, 1-0) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-1, 3-0 | 6.21 | 5.71 | +0.504 | 3.33-2.67 (+1.67) | +1 |