| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | W 51-17 | 8.09 | 2.83 | +5.26 | 100.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | vs James Madison (12-2, 9-0) | W 28-14 | 4.98 | 3.37 | +1.61 | 85.42%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Bowling Green (4-8, 2-6) | W 40-17 | 7.08 | 6.42 | +0.66 | 66.37%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Pittsburgh (8-5, 6-2) | W 34-27 | 4.68 | 6.16 | -1.49 | 16.59%
| +4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs #24 Virginia (11-3, 7-2) | L 27-30 | 5.11 | 3.76 | +1.34 | 80.91%
| -2 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Fri) | at #2 Miami (12-2, 6-2) | W 24-21 | 5.40 | 5.66 | -0.26 | 43.30%
| +3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Boston College (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-24 | 8.54 | 4.39 | +4.15 | 98.67%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Virginia Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-16 | 5.98 | 3.75 | +2.23 | 93.08%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs California (7-6, 4-4) | L 26-29 | 5.09 | 5.77 | -0.68 | 33.06%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 (Fri) | vs Clemson (7-6, 4-4) | L 19-20 | 6.53 | 4.81 | +1.71 | 86.99%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at SMU (9-4, 6-2) | L 6-38 | 4.65 | 6.55 | -1.90 | 10.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | W 41-0 | 6.20 | 2.69 | +3.50 | 97.32%
| +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Tue) | vs Toledo (8-5, 6-2) * | W 27-22 | 6.00 | 4.94 | +1.06 | 75.28%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 4-4 | 6.00 | 4.71 | +1.286 | 8.87-4.13 (+0.13) | +3 |