| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at South Florida (4-1, 1-0) | L 7-34 | 4.40 | 7.02 | -2.62 | 4.30%
| -3 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | vs Eastern Washington (2-4, 1-1) | W 51-14 | 9.37 | 4.31 | +5.06 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Air Force (1-4, 0-3) | W 49-37 | 10.63 | 6.96 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs App State (3-2, 0-1) | W 47-14 | 5.77 | 3.23 | +2.54 | 95.27%
| +4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #21 Notre Dame (3-2) | L 7-28 | 4.44 | 7.69 | -3.25 | 2.80%
| -4 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs New Mexico (3-2, 0-1) | 9:45 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs UNLV (5-0, 1-0) | | | | | | |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | at Nevada (1-4, 0-1) | 10:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Fresno State (5-1, 2-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at San Diego State (4-1, 1-0) | 10:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Colorado State (1-4, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | at Utah State (3-2, 1-0) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-2, 1-0 | 6.61 | 5.80 | +0.811 | 3.00-2.00 (+0.00) | -1 |