| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | vs #25 Boise State (3-2, 1-0) | W 34-7 | 7.02 | 4.40 | +2.62 | 95.71%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #13 Florida (2-3, 1-1) | W 18-16 | 6.02 | 5.55 | +0.47 | 61.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #5 Miami (5-0, 1-0) | L 12-49 | 4.88 | 8.47 | -3.59 | 2.66%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs South Carolina State (3-3) | W 63-14 | 9.33 | 3.81 | +5.52 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | vs Charlotte (1-4, 0-2) | W 54-26 | 6.51 | 4.50 | +2.01 | 90.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Fri) | at North Texas (5-0, 1-0) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Florida Atlantic (2-3, 1-1) | | | | | | |
| Oct 25October 25 | at #23 Memphis (6-0, 2-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | vs UTSA (2-3, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Navy (5-0, 3-0) | 12:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at UAB (2-3, 0-2) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Rice (3-3, 1-2) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-1, 1-0 | 6.62 | 5.26 | +1.359 | 3.51-1.49 (+0.49) | +4 |