| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at UCF (3-2, 0-2) | L 10-17 | 4.67 | 6.15 | -1.48 | 16.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Liberty (1-4, 0-1) | W 34-24 | 6.58 | 8.09 | -1.51 | 16.21%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Georgia Southern (2-3, 0-1) | L 34-41 | 5.88 | 6.21 | -0.33 | 41.60%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Murray State (0-5, 0-1) | W 45-10 | 6.87 | 3.51 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Southern Miss (3-2, 1-0) | L 25-42 | 4.94 | 5.34 | -0.40 | 39.87%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Sam Houston (0-5, 0-2) * | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 15October 15 (Wed) | vs Delaware (3-2, 1-1) | 7:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 29October 29 (Wed) | at Middle Tennessee (1-4, 0-1) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 8November 8 | at UTEP (1-4, 0-1) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Kennesaw State (3-2, 1-0) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Florida International (2-3, 0-1) * | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Western Kentucky (5-1, 3-0) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-3, 1-0 | 5.77 | 5.85 | -0.076 | 2.12-2.88 (-0.12) | +1 |