| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Troy (3-9, 3-5) | W 48-10 | 6.53 | 4.06 | +2.47 | 94.88%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Mississippi State (10-3, 6-2) | L 34-47 | 7.12 | 5.86 | +1.25 | 79.19%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Alabama A&M (4-7, 3-6) | W 41-14 | 5.82 | 4.51 | +1.31 | 80.20%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | L 20-34 | 4.63 | 4.87 | -0.23 | 44.03%
| -6 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) | W 42-39 | 6.64 | 7.74 | -1.10 | 23.88%
| -3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | W 56-21 | 6.22 | 5.75 | +0.48 | 61.92%
| +5 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3) | L 22-34 | 4.50 | 6.17 | -1.67 | 13.68%
| -3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Arkansas (7-6, 2-6) | L 17-45 | 3.25 | 6.72 | -3.47 | 2.70%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-28 | 5.29 | 5.37 | -0.08 | 47.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Louisiana Tech (9-5, 7-2) | L 24-40 | 4.35 | 5.35 | -1.00 | 25.86%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs #18 Marshall (13-1, 8-1) | L 18-23 | 4.22 | 6.60 | -2.38 | 5.73%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 1-7) | W 45-24 | 7.20 | 5.14 | +2.05 | 91.32%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 5.51 | 5.68 | -0.172 | 5.71-6.29 (+0.29) | -2 |