| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Southern Miss (7-3, 5-1) | W 34-17 | 5.89 | 4.07 | +1.82 | 88.47%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #12 Arizona State (7-3, 5-2) | W 24-20 | 5.48 | 4.50 | +0.98 | 73.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Alcorn State (5-6, 4-4) | W 63-0 | 9.52 | 3.23 | +6.29 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Northern Illinois (3-8, 2-5) | W 38-10 | 6.55 | 5.26 | +1.30 | 80.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs #15 Tennessee (7-3, 3-3) | L 34-41 | 4.40 | 6.63 | -2.24 | 6.88%
| +1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #6 Texas A&M (10-0, 7-0) | L 9-31 | 4.29 | 6.53 | -2.23 | 6.92%
| -1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Florida (3-7, 2-5) | L 21-23 | 5.85 | 6.65 | -0.80 | 30.42%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs #22 Texas (7-3, 4-2) | L 38-45 | 5.17 | 5.42 | -0.24 | 43.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Arkansas (2-8, 0-6) | W 38-35 | 5.47 | 5.62 | -0.16 | 45.95%
| -1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs #5 Georgia (9-1, 7-1) | L 21-41 | 4.74 | 7.66 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #24 Missouri (7-3, 3-3) | L 27-49 | 3.83 | 7.96 | -4.13 | 1.44%
| -1 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs #5 Ole Miss (10-1, 6-1) | 12:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 1-6 | 5.45 | 5.81 | -0.364 | 4.81-6.19 (+0.19) | +3 |