| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs UTEP (1-4, 0-1) | W 28-16 | 6.14 | 4.00 | +2.14 | 92.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #19 Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0) | L 22-44 | 3.79 | 7.01 | -3.22 | 2.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Air Force (1-4, 0-3) | W 49-30 | 8.45 | 5.30 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| +3 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs McNeese (1-5, 0-2) | W 48-7 | 8.63 | 3.52 | +5.12 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #18 Vanderbilt (5-1, 1-1) | L 35-55 | 6.24 | 8.67 | -2.43 | 5.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Hawai'i (4-2, 1-1) | 11:59 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 17October 17 (Fri) | vs San José State (2-3, 1-0) | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 25October 25 | at New Mexico (3-2, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Nevada (1-4, 0-1) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at UNLV (5-0, 1-0) | 7:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Fresno State (5-1, 2-0) | 10:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Boise State (3-2, 1-0) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-2, 1-0 | 6.65 | 5.67 | +0.984 | 2.98-2.02 (+0.02) | +2 |