| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at St. Thomas (MN) (7-4, 5-3) | L 13-35 | 6.92 | 7.10 | -0.17 | 45.61%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at App State (4-6, 1-5) | L 13-20 | 3.13 | 7.49 | -4.36 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Charleston Southern (4-7, 3-4) | W 35-28 | 5.22 | 6.70 | -1.47 | 16.76%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Stony Brook (5-6, 3-4) | W 30-27 | 6.74 | 5.86 | +0.88 | 71.41%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Miami (OH) (6-5, 5-2) | L 0-38 | 2.77 | 7.00 | -4.23 | 0.87%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs UT Martin (6-5, 6-1) | W 30-14 | 7.09 | 4.89 | +2.21 | 92.84%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs #8 Tennessee Tech (10-1, 7-0) | L 28-52 | 4.57 | 7.12 | -2.54 | 4.71%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-4, 5-2) | L 20-48 | 5.23 | 7.27 | -2.04 | 8.78%
| -4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Tennessee State (2-9, 0-7) | W 35-13 | 5.54 | 3.36 | +2.18 | 92.56%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Western Illinois (3-8, 2-5) | L 21-24 | 6.23 | 5.06 | +1.18 | 77.70%
| -3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-8, 2-6) | W 42-12 | 8.58 | 3.81 | +4.77 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-4) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-3 | 5.62 | 6.03 | -0.410 | 5.11-5.89 (-0.11) | -5 |