| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | at Kansas (5-7, 3-6) | L 7-31 | 3.72 | 6.60 | -2.88 | 3.36%
| -3 |
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-4) | W 42-14 | 7.42 | 4.94 | +2.48 | 94.94%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Oregon State (2-10, 1-1) | W 36-27 | 7.11 | 6.63 | +0.48 | 61.95%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Southern (2-10, 2-8) | W 56-7 | 7.14 | 3.16 | +3.99 | 97.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Hawai'i (9-4, 5-3) | W 23-21 | 4.92 | 4.30 | +0.62 | 65.30%
| +2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Nevada (3-9, 2-6) | W 20-17 | 5.92 | 4.47 | +1.44 | 82.66%
| +3 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Fri) | at Colorado State (2-10, 1-7) | L 21-49 | 5.86 | 6.30 | -0.44 | 38.93%
| -4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs San Diego State (9-4, 6-2) | L 0-23 | 3.49 | 5.11 | -1.62 | 14.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Boise State (9-5, 7-2) | W 30-7 | 3.29 | 3.11 | +0.18 | 54.58%
| +3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Wyoming (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-3 | 4.20 | 3.07 | +1.14 | 76.87%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | L 17-28 | 6.08 | 5.10 | +0.98 | 73.65%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at San José State (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-14 | 5.44 | 3.78 | +1.66 | 86.13%
| +2 |
| Dec 27December 27 | vs Miami (OH) (7-7, 6-3) * | W 18-3 | 5.43 | 4.00 | +1.43 | 82.45%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 5.37 | 4.74 | +0.636 | 8.33-4.67 (+0.67) | +5 |