| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Northwestern (5-5, 3-4) | W 23-3 | 5.69 | 3.76 | +1.93 | 89.86%
| +5 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at South Alabama (3-7, 2-4) | W 33-31 | 5.64 | 6.48 | -0.84 | 29.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Duke (5-5, 4-2) | W 34-27 | 6.76 | 6.03 | +0.74 | 68.12%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at #13 Ole Miss (10-1, 6-1) | L 10-45 | 4.15 | 7.94 | -3.79 | 2.46%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Tulsa (3-7, 0-6) | W 31-14 | 5.92 | 4.63 | +1.29 | 79.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs East Carolina (7-3, 5-1) | W 26-19 | 7.39 | 4.66 | +2.73 | 96.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Army (5-4, 3-3) | W 24-17 | 6.93 | 4.90 | +2.03 | 91.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | at UTSA (5-5, 3-3) | L 26-48 | 7.12 | 7.58 | -0.46 | 38.30%
| -4 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Fri) | at #22 Memphis (8-3, 4-3) | W 38-32 | 8.16 | 6.30 | +1.86 | 88.97%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-6, 3-4) | W 35-24 | 6.30 | 5.49 | +0.81 | 69.80%
| +3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Temple (5-5, 3-3) | 3:45 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Charlotte (1-9, 0-7) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-2, 5-1 | 6.33 | 5.77 | +0.562 | 6.54-3.46 (+1.46) | +5 |