| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #19 Texas A&M (10-0, 7-0) | L 24-42 | 5.57 | 6.76 | -1.20 | 21.91%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Texas State (4-6, 1-5) | L 36-43 | 6.54 | 7.20 | -0.66 | 33.52%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs #8 Incarnate Word (4-7, 2-4) | W 48-20 | 6.31 | 4.96 | +1.36 | 81.11%
| +4 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Colorado State (2-8, 1-5) | W 17-16 | 5.75 | 5.43 | +0.32 | 58.15%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Temple (5-5, 3-3) | L 21-27 | 4.54 | 5.42 | -0.88 | 28.47%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Rice (5-5, 2-4) | W 61-13 | 7.41 | 3.90 | +3.51 | 97.32%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at North Texas (9-1, 5-1) | L 17-55 | 5.77 | 7.21 | -1.44 | 17.40%
| -3 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Thu) | vs Tulane (8-2, 5-1) | W 48-26 | 7.58 | 7.12 | +0.46 | 61.66%
| +4 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | at South Florida (7-3, 4-2) | L 23-55 | 4.65 | 9.42 | -4.77 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Charlotte (1-9, 0-7) | W 28-7 | 6.95 | 3.40 | +3.55 | 97.34%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs East Carolina (7-3, 5-1) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Army (5-4, 3-3) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-5, 3-3 | 6.09 | 6.02 | +0.069 | 4.97-5.03 (+0.03) | +2 |