| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin | 
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | L 14-59 | 4.91 | 10.75 | -5.84 | 0.00% 
 | -5 | 
| Sep 6September 6 | at Central Arkansas (6-6, 5-3) | L 24-26 | 6.23 | 4.64 | +1.59 | 85.08% 
 | -1 | 
| Sep 11September 11 (Thu) | vs Cumberland (0-1) | W 63-7 | 7.67 | 2.18 | +5.49 | 100.00% 
 | -2 | 
| Sep 20September 20 | vs #22 Eastern Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 24-49 | 5.98 | 8.46 | -2.49 | 5.05% 
 | -3 | 
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Southeast Missouri State (5-7, 3-5) | L 27-31 | 7.79 | 5.79 | +1.99 | 90.65% 
 | +1 | 
| Oct 4October 4 | at #8 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 14-38 | 3.22 | 5.58 | -2.36 | 5.89% 
 | -2 | 
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 17-10 | 5.45 | 4.30 | +1.15 | 77.17% 
 | 0 | 
| Oct 18October 18 | at Tennessee State (6-6, 3-5) | W 21-16 | 3.18 | 6.02 | -2.83 | 3.49% 
 | +2 | 
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Austin Peay (1-11, 1-7) | W 37-7 | 6.44 | 3.09 | +3.35 | 97.26% 
 | +2 | 
| Nov 1November 1 | at Murray State (3-9, 1-7) | W 62-38 | 7.35 | 5.90 | +1.44 | 82.67% 
 | +1 | 
| Nov 8November 8 | at #1 Mississippi State (10-3, 6-2) | L 16-45 | 4.53 | 8.81 | -4.28 | 0.46% 
 | +1 | 
| Nov 22November 22 | at Eastern Illinois (5-7, 5-3) | W 37-16 | 6.45 | 6.06 | +0.39 | 59.73% 
 | +2 | 
|  |  | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | 
|---|
|  |  | 6-6, 5-3 | 5.80 | 5.87 | -0.070 | 6.07-5.93 (-0.07) | -4 |