| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | at Portland State (1-10, 1-6) | W 42-0 | 7.19 | 4.33 | +2.86 | 96.60%
| +3 |
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Army (5-4, 3-3) | W 30-27 | 4.78 | 5.01 | -0.23 | 44.04%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Mississippi Valley State (1-9, 0-7) | W 59-3 | 7.54 | 3.87 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| +5 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Central Arkansas (3-8, 2-5) | W 56-10 | 6.33 | 4.59 | +1.74 | 87.37%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Chattanooga (5-6, 4-3) | W 52-24 | 8.23 | 8.02 | +0.21 | 55.28%
| +3 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Southern Utah (6-5, 5-2) | W 52-42 | 8.33 | 7.93 | +0.40 | 60.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Utah Tech (2-9, 1-6) | W 41-23 | 5.80 | 5.03 | +0.77 | 68.96%
| -1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs #23 West Georgia (8-3, 5-3) | W 45-10 | 7.22 | 3.59 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| +4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 2-5) | W 31-7 | 5.58 | 4.02 | +1.56 | 84.63%
| +4 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at #25 Abilene Christian (7-4, 6-1) | L 28-31 | 5.75 | 7.63 | -1.88 | 10.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs North Alabama (2-9, 1-6) | W 61-0 | 8.62 | 2.14 | +6.48 | 100.00%
| +4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Austin Peay (7-4, 4-3) | 5:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-1, 6-1 | 6.78 | 4.99 | +1.799 | 8.02-2.98 (+1.98) | +28 |