| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at McNeese (0-10, 0-6) | W 52-34 | 7.49 | 3.56 | +3.92 | 97.79%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs North Alabama (3-8, 1-5) | W 52-31 | 8.67 | 5.18 | +3.49 | 97.31%
| +3 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Texas Tech (7-6, 5-4) | L 3-41 | 4.28 | 5.78 | -1.50 | 16.29%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Southwest Baptist (4-7, 3-3) | W 27-13 | | | | | |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Southeastern Louisiana (3-7, 3-4) | W 14-13 | 3.33 | 5.47 | -2.14 | 7.80%
| +2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Southern Utah (6-5, 4-2) | L 26-27 | 5.20 | 5.45 | -0.25 | 43.70%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Eastern Kentucky (5-6, 4-2) | L 35-41 | 7.42 | 6.37 | +1.05 | 75.08%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Morehead State (5-6, 4-4) | W 42-0 | 6.78 | 2.02 | +4.76 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at #18 Central Arkansas (7-4, 5-2) | W 25-23 | 5.79 | 5.26 | +0.53 | 63.17%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Stephen F. Austin (3-8, 0-7) | W 59-17 | 9.62 | 4.47 | +5.15 | 100.00%
| +5 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Abilene Christian (5-6, 3-3) | W 31-30 | 7.91 | 5.24 | +2.66 | 95.89%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 4-2 | 6.60 | 4.93 | +1.665 | 6.97-3.03 (+1.03) | +3 |