| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at USC (8-2, 6-1) | L 13-73 | 3.93 | 10.47 | -6.54 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Marshall (5-5, 3-3) | W 21-20 | 6.77 | 4.81 | +1.96 | 90.31%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs SMU (7-3, 5-1) | L 10-28 | 5.05 | 6.40 | -1.35 | 18.90%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs UT Martin (6-5, 6-1) | W 42-10 | 7.24 | 3.88 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Western Kentucky (8-2, 6-1) | L 22-27 | 6.27 | 7.00 | -0.73 | 32.03%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 (Wed) | at Middle Tennessee (1-9, 0-6) | W 22-20 | 5.73 | 5.55 | +0.18 | 54.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Wed) | at New Mexico State (3-7, 1-5) | W 24-17 | 5.38 | 4.90 | +0.48 | 62.11%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Wed) | vs Florida International (5-5, 3-3) | W 28-21 | 5.77 | 4.87 | +0.89 | 71.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Liberty (4-6, 3-3) | W 21-17 | 5.83 | 5.10 | +0.72 | 67.81%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs UTEP (2-8, 1-5) | W 38-24 | 5.59 | 4.14 | +1.45 | 82.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Kennesaw State (7-3, 5-1) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Louisiana Tech (5-5, 3-3) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-3, 5-1 | 5.76 | 5.70 | +0.058 | 5.78-4.22 (+1.22) | +2 |