| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Mississippi State (4-2, 0-2) | L 17-34 | 4.07 | 5.89 | -1.82 | 11.52%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #14 Jackson State (4-1, 2-0) | W 38-20 | 5.34 | 4.60 | +0.74 | 68.19%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs App State (3-2, 0-1) | W 38-22 | 6.95 | 5.22 | +1.72 | 87.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Louisiana Tech (4-1, 2-0) | L 20-30 | 6.27 | 5.76 | +0.51 | 62.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Jacksonville State (2-3, 1-0) | W 42-25 | 5.34 | 4.94 | +0.40 | 60.09%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (2-3, 0-1) | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Louisiana (2-3, 1-0) | | | | | | |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs UL Monroe (3-2, 1-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Arkansas State (2-4, 1-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Texas State (3-2, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at South Alabama (1-5, 0-2) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Troy (3-2, 1-0) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-2, 1-0 | 5.54 | 5.27 | +0.273 | 2.90-2.10 (+0.10) | +6 |