| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #2 Penn State (4-6, 1-6) | L 11-46 | 3.90 | 6.17 | -2.27 | 6.65%
| -3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #16 Sacramento State (7-4, 5-2) | W 20-17 | 6.09 | 6.18 | -0.10 | 47.56%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Middle Tennessee (1-9, 0-6) | L 13-14 | 6.15 | 4.69 | +1.46 | 82.90%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Western Kentucky (8-2, 6-1) | L 16-31 | 5.17 | 5.47 | -0.30 | 42.32%
| -1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Fresno State (7-3, 4-2) | L 17-20 | 4.47 | 5.92 | -1.44 | 17.32%
| -3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs San Diego State (8-2, 5-1) | L 10-44 | 4.03 | 7.09 | -3.05 | 3.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at New Mexico (7-3, 4-2) | L 22-24 | 4.51 | 5.44 | -0.93 | 27.48%
| +2 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | vs Boise State (6-4, 4-2) | L 3-24 | 4.66 | 4.11 | +0.55 | 63.82%
| -4 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Utah State (5-5, 3-3) | L 14-51 | 4.25 | 6.96 | -2.71 | 3.90%
| -3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs San José State (3-7, 2-4) | W 55-10 | 6.77 | 4.66 | +2.12 | 91.96%
| +5 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Wyoming (4-6, 2-4) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs UNLV (8-2, 4-2) | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-8, 1-5 | 5.05 | 5.64 | -0.598 | 3.87-6.13 (-1.87) | -11 |