| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin | 
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at #9 Georgia (10-3, 5-3) | L 14-51 | 4.56 | 8.37 | -3.80 | 2.45% 
 | -1 | 
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Nicholls (3-8, 3-6) | W 47-0 | 7.80 | 4.13 | +3.68 | 97.41% 
 | +2 | 
| Sep 26September 26 | at #12 Alabama (14-1, 8-1) | L 0-34 | 1.24 | 4.52 | -3.28 | 2.78% 
 | -1 | 
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Georgia Southern (9-4, 6-2) | L 31-51 | 4.50 | 6.53 | -2.03 | 8.91% 
 | -2 | 
| Oct 10October 10 | at Tulsa (6-7, 3-5) | L 24-34 | 5.25 | 5.26 | -0.01 | 49.60% 
 | -3 | 
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | L 14-59 | 4.73 | 9.91 | -5.18 | 0.00% 
 | -1 | 
| Oct 24October 24 | at Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | L 13-27 | 4.05 | 5.37 | -1.32 | 19.46% 
 | +3 | 
| Oct 31October 31 | at Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | L 24-30 | 4.94 | 4.02 | +0.93 | 72.44% 
 | -2 | 
| Nov 7November 7 | at Troy (4-8, 3-5) | L 14-51 | 4.88 | 6.94 | -2.06 | 8.60% 
 | -6 | 
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Arkansas State (9-4, 8-0) | L 21-59 | 3.36 | 5.46 | -2.10 | 8.15% 
 | -4 | 
| Nov 19November 19 (Thu) | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | L 3-16 | 3.18 | 4.18 | -1.00 | 25.94% 
 | -2 | 
| Nov 28November 28 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 0-8) | L 26-28 | 4.88 | 5.09 | -0.20 | 44.84% 
 | 0 | 
| Dec 5December 5 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 42-35 | 4.39 | 4.51 | -0.12 | 46.93% 
 | +1 | 
|  |  | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | 
|---|
|  |  | 2-11, 1-7 | 4.48 | 5.61 | -1.134 | 3.88-9.12 (-1.88) | -16 |