| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | vs Tennessee State (6-5, 2-5) | L 10-17 | 5.25 | 5.72 | -0.47 | 38.27%
| -4 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #5 Penn State (11-2, 7-2) | L 0-56 | 3.95 | 9.93 | -5.97 | 0.00%
| -5 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 28-0 | 4.79 | 4.33 | +0.46 | 61.51%
| +3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Coastal Carolina (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-21 | 5.20 | 6.31 | -1.11 | 23.63%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 4-4) | W 47-37 | 8.82 | 5.82 | +2.99 | 96.90%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Troy (11-2, 7-1) | L 10-34 | 4.21 | 7.88 | -3.67 | 2.60%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Thu) | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 21-13 | 4.75 | 4.76 | -0.01 | 49.81%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Georgia Southern (2-10, 2-6) | W 21-17 | 6.03 | 4.31 | +1.73 | 87.17%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Texas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 33-30 | 6.54 | 4.88 | +1.67 | 86.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Appalachian State (9-4, 7-1) | L 10-31 | 4.79 | 6.23 | -1.45 | 17.28%
| +1 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | L 10-24 | 5.12 | 5.36 | -0.24 | 43.95%
| -4 |
| Dec 16December 16 | vs Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) * | W 27-17 | 5.90 | 5.72 | +0.18 | 54.55%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.46 | 5.80 | -0.344 | 5.62-6.38 (+1.38) | -4 |