| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | vs #25 Stony Brook (6-6, 4-4) | W 42-0 | 5.59 | 1.79 | +3.80 | 97.55%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Washington State (7-6, 1-1) | L 13-36 | 3.58 | 5.36 | -1.78 | 12.09%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs California (7-6, 4-4) | W 34-0 | 6.59 | 4.01 | +2.58 | 95.48%
| +3 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Northern Illinois (3-9, 2-6) | W 6-3 | 4.11 | 3.04 | +1.07 | 75.55%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | vs Colorado State (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-24 | 8.32 | 5.46 | +2.86 | 96.60%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Nevada (3-9, 2-6) | W 44-10 | 7.09 | 4.03 | +3.05 | 97.01%
| +2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Fresno State (9-4, 5-3) | W 23-0 | 5.11 | 3.49 | +1.62 | 85.52%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Wyoming (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-7 | 6.29 | 2.98 | +3.31 | 97.24%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Hawai'i (9-4, 5-3) | L 6-38 | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Boise State (9-5, 7-2) | W 17-7 | 5.25 | 4.54 | +0.71 | 67.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs San José State (3-9, 2-6) | W 25-3 | 4.13 | 3.62 | +0.51 | 62.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | at New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-23 | 5.38 | 5.13 | +0.25 | 56.20%
| -1 |
| Dec 27December 27 | vs #25 North Texas (12-2, 7-2) * | L 47-49 | 6.56 | 6.37 | +0.18 | 54.66%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.68 | 4.29 | +1.384 | 8.98-3.02 (+0.02) | +6 |