| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Northern Arizona (7-5, 5-3) | W 38-7 | 6.05 | 4.88 | +1.17 | 77.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #21 North Carolina (6-7, 4-4) | L 27-31 | 6.88 | 6.16 | +0.72 | 67.82%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Oregon State (5-7, 2-7) | L 7-28 | 4.39 | 5.55 | -1.16 | 22.53%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs UNLV (2-11, 1-7) | W 34-17 | 6.56 | 6.41 | +0.15 | 53.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | at Fresno State (6-8, 5-4) | L 13-24 | 3.91 | 4.44 | -0.52 | 36.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Fri) | at New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-14 | 7.46 | 4.24 | +3.22 | 97.19%
| -3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Hawai'i (4-9, 3-5) | W 20-10 | 6.44 | 4.71 | +1.72 | 87.13%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-30 | 4.99 | 4.76 | +0.22 | 55.66%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Idaho (1-10, 1-7) | W 35-21 | 6.64 | 4.62 | +2.02 | 90.92%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Boise State (12-2, 8-1) | L 29-38 | 5.41 | 5.32 | +0.09 | 52.24%
| +1 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Fri) | vs Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | W 30-14 | 6.69 | 4.84 | +1.86 | 88.95%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs San José State (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-7 | 5.62 | 3.79 | +1.83 | 88.64%
| +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Tue) | vs Navy (8-5) * | L 16-17 | 5.45 | 4.17 | +1.28 | 79.71%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.92 | 4.93 | +0.993 | 8.99-4.01 (-1.99) | +4 |