| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Charlotte (1-11, 0-8) * | W 34-11 | 6.66 | 4.04 | +2.62 | 95.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Lindenwood (6-6, 5-3) | W 20-13 | 7.49 | 3.13 | +4.36 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Southern Miss (7-6, 5-3) | L 22-38 | 5.22 | 6.95 | -1.72 | 12.83%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Boise State (9-5, 7-2) | L 14-47 | 3.23 | 5.77 | -2.54 | 4.73%
| -4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Oregon State (2-10, 1-1) | W 27-23 | 5.53 | 6.51 | -0.98 | 26.30%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 41-20 | 6.27 | 4.54 | +1.73 | 87.26%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Coastal Carolina (6-7, 5-3) | L 37-45 | 5.40 | 6.51 | -1.11 | 23.57%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-24 | 5.19 | 5.89 | -0.69 | 32.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-4) | L 23-25 | 5.74 | 6.59 | -0.84 | 29.37%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #24 James Madison (12-2, 9-0) | L 10-58 | 2.81 | 7.05 | -4.24 | 0.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Marshall (5-7, 3-5) | W 26-24 | 3.94 | 6.26 | -2.31 | 6.25%
| +3 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Arkansas State (7-6, 5-3) | L 29-30 | 6.04 | 5.53 | +0.51 | 62.74%
| +2 |
| Dec 29December 29 (Mon) | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-4) * | L 10-29 | 6.29 | 6.43 | -0.14 | 46.54%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-8, 2-7 | 5.46 | 5.80 | -0.337 | 5.29-7.71 (-0.29) | -2 |