| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Charlotte (1-4, 0-2) * | W 34-11 | 6.66 | 4.04 | +2.62 | 95.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Lindenwood (3-3, 2-0) | W 20-13 | 7.49 | 3.13 | +4.36 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Southern Miss (3-2, 1-0) | L 22-38 | 5.22 | 6.95 | -1.72 | 12.83%
| -2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Boise State (3-2, 1-0) | L 14-47 | 3.23 | 5.77 | -2.54 | 4.73%
| -4 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Oregon State (0-6) | W 27-23 | 5.53 | 6.51 | -0.98 | 26.30%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Georgia State (1-4, 0-1) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Coastal Carolina (2-3, 1-1) | | | | | | |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Old Dominion (4-1, 1-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 6November 6 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (2-3, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at James Madison (4-1, 2-0) | | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Marshall (2-3, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Arkansas State (2-4, 1-1) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-2, 0-1 | 5.73 | 5.29 | +0.434 | 2.40-2.60 (+0.60) | -4 |