| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #10 Penn State (9-4, 6-3) | L 38-45 | 5.93 | 5.49 | +0.44 | 61.06%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | W 45-9 | 8.68 | 2.99 | +5.69 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Gardner-Webb (3-8, 2-3) | W 72-7 | 9.23 | 2.74 | +6.49 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs South Alabama (3-9, 2-6) | W 52-7 | 7.83 | 4.53 | +3.30 | 97.24%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Tue) | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 35-9 | 6.00 | 4.10 | +1.90 | 89.55%
| +3 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) | W 27-17 | 5.43 | 4.82 | +0.61 | 65.16%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (10-3, 6-2) | L 14-34 | 4.57 | 6.44 | -1.87 | 10.83%
| -5 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 23-7 | 5.40 | 3.42 | +1.98 | 90.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Texas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 38-7 | 6.69 | 3.57 | +3.11 | 97.08%
| +3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Georgia State (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-17 | 8.06 | 5.98 | +2.08 | 91.59%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Troy (10-3, 7-1) | W 21-10 | 4.55 | 3.74 | +0.81 | 69.81%
| +3 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) | W 30-19 | 5.26 | 4.56 | +0.70 | 67.36%
| +2 |
| Dec 15December 15 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-6, 7-2) * | W 45-13 | 7.47 | 5.44 | +2.02 | 90.97%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 8-1 | 6.52 | 4.45 | +2.069 | 10.31-2.69 (+0.69) | +6 |