| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Fri) | at #18 Michigan State (7-6, 4-5) | L 7-28 | 1.54 | 3.89 | -2.35 | 6.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at San José State (5-7, 2-6) | W 34-16 | 6.57 | 5.12 | +1.46 | 82.88%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Oklahoma State (8-5, 5-4) | L 21-40 | 4.50 | 7.44 | -2.94 | 3.21%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Wyoming (8-5, 4-4) | W 24-21 | 4.70 | 5.41 | -0.71 | 32.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at #24 SMU (10-3, 6-2) | L 37-43 | 6.58 | 4.84 | +1.74 | 87.43%
| -2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Navy (11-2, 7-1) | L 17-45 | 4.20 | 6.71 | -2.52 | 4.85%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #21 Cincinnati (11-3, 7-2) | L 13-24 | 4.38 | 5.03 | -0.65 | 33.89%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs #25 Memphis (12-2, 8-1) | L 41-42 | 5.78 | 8.44 | -2.66 | 4.14%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Tulane (7-6, 3-5) | L 26-38 | 5.61 | 7.65 | -2.04 | 8.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Fri) | vs UCF (10-3, 6-2) | W 34-31 | 4.47 | 5.44 | -0.97 | 26.53%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Houston (4-8, 2-6) | L 14-24 | 5.59 | 4.13 | +1.46 | 83.02%
| -3 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at East Carolina (4-8, 1-7) | W 49-24 | 9.04 | 4.97 | +4.07 | 98.27%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 5.32 | 5.67 | -0.355 | 4.71-7.29 (-0.71) | -2 |