| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at Tulsa (2-4, 0-3) | L 7-35 | 4.41 | 6.55 | -2.14 | 7.80%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #23 Stephen F. Austin (4-2, 2-0) | W 28-20 | 4.95 | 4.17 | +0.78 | 69.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at TCU (4-1, 1-1) | L 21-42 | 6.04 | 8.31 | -2.27 | 6.65%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs #20 Austin Peay (4-2, 2-1) | W 45-31 | 6.09 | 5.95 | +0.14 | 53.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #24 Incarnate Word (2-4, 0-2) | L 7-38 | 4.96 | 4.75 | +0.21 | 55.23%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs North Alabama (1-4, 0-1) | W 52-23 | 7.29 | 5.32 | +1.97 | 90.41%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at #21 West Georgia (5-1, 2-1) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Southern Utah (1-5, 0-2) | 8:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs #3 Tarleton State (6-0, 2-0) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Utah Tech (1-5, 0-2) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Eastern Kentucky (2-3, 0-1) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Central Arkansas (2-4, 1-1) | 5:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-3, 2-0 | 5.68 | 5.74 | -0.062 | 2.83-3.17 (+0.17) | +5 |