| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Marshall (8-5, 4-4) | L 26-31 | 4.99 | 4.86 | +0.13 | 53.38%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Austin Peay (8-4, 7-1) | W 31-10 | 3.88 | 4.91 | -1.03 | 25.25%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Cincinnati (4-8, 2-6) | L 17-21 | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.01 | 49.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Central Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | W 31-14 | 6.68 | 4.48 | +2.20 | 92.75%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at #22 Notre Dame (10-3) | L 17-52 | 5.39 | 8.11 | -2.73 | 3.85%
| -2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Bowling Green (2-10, 2-6) | L 29-37 | 7.03 | 7.54 | -0.50 | 37.38%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Kent State (2-10, 1-7) | L 14-17 | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.06 | 48.56%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Buffalo (6-6, 4-4) | W 24-14 | 5.54 | 4.11 | +1.43 | 82.50%
| +2 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Tue) | at Ohio (9-4, 5-3) | L 28-45 | 6.05 | 6.42 | -0.37 | 40.74%
| -2 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Tue) | vs Akron (7-7, 6-3) | W 24-14 | 6.36 | 4.02 | +2.35 | 94.02%
| -2 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Wed) | vs Eastern Michigan (5-7, 3-5) | L 24-27 | 5.60 | 6.49 | -0.89 | 28.43%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Tue) | at Ball State (2-10, 0-8) | W 28-7 | 4.88 | 4.60 | +0.28 | 56.94%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 5.54 | 5.42 | +0.120 | 6.14-5.86 (-1.14) | -1 |