| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin | 
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Florida (10-4, 7-2) | L 13-61 | 3.92 | 7.67 | -3.75 | 2.52%
  | 0 | 
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Georgia State (6-7, 5-3) | L 32-34 | 6.78 | 6.54 | +0.24 | 56.13%
  | +2 | 
| Sep 19September 19 | vs UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | L 47-50 | 8.59 | 7.07 | +1.52 | 84.02%
  | +1 | 
| Oct 3October 3 | at New Mexico (7-6, 5-3) | L 29-38 | 6.21 | 5.72 | +0.49 | 62.30%
  | -1 | 
| Oct 10October 10 | at #14 Ole Miss (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-52 | 3.23 | 9.64 | -6.41 | 0.00%
  | +1 | 
| Oct 17October 17 | at Georgia Southern (9-4, 6-2) | L 26-56 | 5.85 | 8.84 | -2.99 | 3.12%
  | 0 | 
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | L 7-52 | 4.84 | 7.30 | -2.46 | 5.18%
  | -2 | 
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 55-48 | 7.91 | 6.19 | +1.73 | 87.22%
  | 0 | 
| Nov 7November 7 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-21 | 5.67 | 5.48 | +0.19 | 54.73%
  | +3 | 
| Nov 21November 21 | at Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-34 | 5.66 | 6.42 | -0.76 | 31.28%
  | +1 | 
| Nov 28November 28 | vs Arkansas State (9-4, 8-0) | L 28-52 | 6.58 | 6.80 | -0.22 | 44.35%
  | -3 | 
| Dec 5December 5 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-11, 1-7) | L 35-42 | 4.51 | 4.39 | +0.12 | 53.03%
  | -1 | 
 |  | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin | 
|---|
 |  | 3-9, 3-5 | 5.80 | 6.80 | -0.995 | 4.84-7.16 (-1.84) | +1 |