North Carolina Tar Heels
| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Mon) | vs TCU (6-4, 3-4) | L 14-48 | 4.53 | 7.53 | -3.00 | 3.10%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Charlotte (1-9, 0-7) | W 20-3 | 5.22 | 3.94 | +1.28 | 79.74%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Richmond (6-5) | W 41-6 | 6.24 | 3.16 | +3.08 | 97.04%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at UCF (4-6, 1-6) | L 9-34 | 3.74 | 5.55 | -1.80 | 11.71%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Clemson (5-5, 4-4) | L 10-38 | 4.50 | 6.97 | -2.47 | 5.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Fri) | at California (6-4, 3-3) | L 18-21 | 4.48 | 4.14 | +0.34 | 58.66%
| -3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs #16 Virginia (9-2, 6-1) | L 16-17 | 4.71 | 3.75 | +0.95 | 73.02%
| -2 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Fri) | at Syracuse (3-7, 1-6) | W 27-10 | 6.86 | 2.94 | +3.91 | 97.77%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Stanford (3-7, 2-5) | W 20-15 | 4.87 | 4.32 | +0.54 | 63.51%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at Wake Forest (7-3, 4-3) | L 12-28 | 4.21 | 6.47 | -2.26 | 6.73%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Duke (5-5, 4-2) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 | at NC State (5-5, 2-4) | | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-6, 2-4 | 4.92 | 4.94 | -0.020 | 4.96-5.04 (-0.96) | -2 |